Tribune News Service
New Delhi, April 23
At the end of one month of national lockdown to fight Covid-19, the Centre today said India had managed to flatten the disease curve with the graph staying stable through the period of social distancing and no exponential growth seen in cases.
The country witnessed an average of 4.5 per cent positive cases through the lockdown phase with the growth remaining linear between March 24 (when curbs were imposed) and April 22.
During this period, while daily testing rose 24 times (from 1,500 tests on March 24 to 35,000 yesterday), daily new cases grew 16 times from 85 on March 24 to 1,486 on April 22. More importantly, despite testing increasing 24-fold over the period, the rate of positivity remained stable at 4.5 per cent. Total cases today rose to 21,700 with 4,324 persons cured and 686 dead. The rate of cure was 19.19 per cent as against the mortality rate of 3.16 per cent.
“We have recorded 4.5 per cent Covid positivity over the entire period of lockdown. We have a straight line so far as the disease graph goes. We have been able to flatten the curve although it is difficult to say when the peak of the disease will come,” said Balram Bhargava, ICMR Director General and Secretary Health Research, noting India had achieved the objective of lockdown — to ensure cases remained stable and didn’t rise exponentially.
Further, there was no significant spike in confirmation rate after India reported its 400th case on March 23. India’s cases have remained stable over the lockdown despite expansion of testing.